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View Full Version : Org Experiment: Wisdom of crowds


Brettus
16-03-12, 10:17 AM
Right, I've been pondering this for a while after seeing a Derren Brown show I believe it was. I knew about the theory of the wisdom of crowds but found it interesting used on the national lottery.

The only crowd I have access to is here so I thought I'd post up a little experiment. Friday seemed like a good day as there are the bored workers, the evening browsers and the hung over weekend browsers tomorrow before I play the numbers.

I want each responder to post 6 numbers (between 1 and 49 if you didn't know) that they would like to enter in the lottery this weekend. I'll correlate the numbers and play a few lines based on the suggestions.

The theory goes that the more suggestions then the more commonalities will come out and the more accurate the answer will be, this of course shouldn't work on random probabilities but I thought it would be interesting to try. (and basically I hate choosing lottery numbers, I also hate using the lucky dip option too so I'm a victim of my own making)

To try and incentivise this I will pledge £500 to each responder If I win over £100k and there are more than 50 responders. (I know, ridiculously unlikely but what have you got to lose?)

I don't want to take away from anyone else's winnings so I'm not asking you to suggest the numbers that you may play each week, suggest ones that you would like played, I know this then opens the gates to everyone suggesting 1,2,3,4,5,6 but that just wastes your time as much as mine so please try and resist the urge :)

And of course seeing as it is a public forum you all have access to the same information so if anyone wanted they can play exactly the same numbers at the end of the submissions.

If anyone is interested enough to want to comment on/mock it can we start a chat thread about it and try and keep this thread just to number suggestions please?

so C'mon, I know you are all as bored as me, here's my initial suggestion to get the ball rolling.

24,27,15,44,42,48

daveyrach
16-03-12, 10:20 AM
What if you win mega £££'s??

Anyway:
08, 09, 19, 21, 24, 29

benji106
16-03-12, 10:21 AM
2, 4, 11, 28, 32, 39

pookie
16-03-12, 10:22 AM
1 7 11 26 33 45

could i entry two lots and get double the cash if you win 100k +
can you tell its a friday :)

Specialone
16-03-12, 10:25 AM
8,16,21,22,35,47

Winder
16-03-12, 10:42 AM
3, 9, 24, 27, 40, 42

Sid Squid
16-03-12, 10:45 AM
4, 7, 11, 18, 29, 47.

I'm expecting a big win now - don't disappoint me.

davepreston
16-03-12, 10:52 AM
2, 7, 14, 28, 30, 47

Nobbylad
16-03-12, 10:55 AM
4, 11, 18, 23, 27, 28

joshwalker094
16-03-12, 10:56 AM
5 10 18 21 36 47

Bibio
16-03-12, 10:57 AM
9 15 22 23 24 41

SIII
16-03-12, 10:57 AM
3, 8, 23, 41, 46, 49

The Idle Biker
16-03-12, 11:03 AM
2, 21, 35, 36, 42, 44

HoL
16-03-12, 11:04 AM
18, 21, 26, 36, 48, 49

Epic Monkey
16-03-12, 11:08 AM
3, 9, 11, 28, 32, 47

Suchy
16-03-12, 11:10 AM
1,12,27,29,35,44

pencil shavings
16-03-12, 11:15 AM
8 12 18 22 36 45

The Guru
16-03-12, 11:30 AM
04, 09, 12, 20, 29, 30

littleoldman2
16-03-12, 11:36 AM
19, 20, 24, 37, 39, 47

tigersaw
16-03-12, 11:39 AM
7 11 22 33 47 49

TamSV
16-03-12, 11:44 AM
10 14 18 22 38 43

appollo1
16-03-12, 11:53 AM
4, 7, 12, 28, 36, 42.

SuzukiNess
16-03-12, 12:06 PM
3, 7, 11, 13, 27, 40

Spriggy
16-03-12, 12:08 PM
9, 12, 18, 25, 28, 39

carelesschucca
16-03-12, 12:11 PM
1,2,13,29,35,49

Shawthing
16-03-12, 12:18 PM
2, 14, 21, 23, 41, 45

Venom
16-03-12, 12:21 PM
3 5 8 13 21 34

Biker Biggles
16-03-12, 12:22 PM
31 35 38 44 45 48

ravingdavis
16-03-12, 12:29 PM
1, 2, 12, 22, 32, 33

Owenski
16-03-12, 12:32 PM
1, 5, 8, 9, 16, 32

MisterTommyH
16-03-12, 12:50 PM
4 8 11 12 28 38

When do I get my £500?

SoulKiss
16-03-12, 12:53 PM
4, 10, 19, 31, 38, 42

stewie
16-03-12, 01:03 PM
9
16
24
26
34
46

Good luck :D

minimorecambe
16-03-12, 01:31 PM
6 19 22 34 38 42

Cymraeg_Atodeg
16-03-12, 01:32 PM
28, 30, 32, 33, 45, 49

sc00by
16-03-12, 02:00 PM
9, 13, 29, 33, 36, 29

Reeder
16-03-12, 02:08 PM
2 12 22 8 6 14

Bluefish
16-03-12, 02:42 PM
8 12 18 22 36 48

Neeja
16-03-12, 04:07 PM
8, 16, 24, 32, 40, 48

garynortheast
16-03-12, 07:05 PM
3, 11, 16, 29, 41, 48.

Tomor
16-03-12, 07:06 PM
03, 16, 23, 30, 40, 46

Dave20046
16-03-12, 07:06 PM
4 , 11, 18 , 26,29,35

AJC
16-03-12, 07:19 PM
5 13 19 24 29 37

Black Rider
16-03-12, 07:44 PM
05, 16, 17, 23, 36, 42 ;)

Fallout
16-03-12, 08:03 PM
12,19,20,32,33,40

I don't think anyone believes in this, but it's a free ticket to some easy wonga if you win! Good luck. :D

Berlin
16-03-12, 09:00 PM
5, 6, 12, 14, 26, 27

missyburd
16-03-12, 09:07 PM
03, 04, 15, 25, 19, 30

Mr Speirs
16-03-12, 09:56 PM
1, 12, 23, 36, 45, 49

BanannaMan
17-03-12, 03:36 AM
1, 2, 5, 7, 19, 22

kellyjo
17-03-12, 06:34 AM
1,5,17,21,24,30

Brettus
17-03-12, 08:21 AM
We have player 50! Only remarking because I'm surprised, keep the entries coming if anyone else wants their shot.

The 50 number was just an arbitrary threshold caveat to try and secure what I considered to be a large enough sample size to start to show patterns. More on that in the chat thread for any curious enough.

allantheboss
17-03-12, 10:21 AM
43 5 8 7 19 21