muffles |
18-07-08 06:59 PM |
Re: Oil Prices dropping $4 dollars a day
Quote:
Originally Posted by Razor
(Post 1572626)
Read this
nobody describes peak oil as theory anymore, where have you been?
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Interesting. I am not 100% committed to the 'popular' (at last check, e.g. the 'life after the oil crash' site) 'Peak Oil' theory. That is, that we will crash and basically go back to the Dark Ages.
If you take 'Peak Oil' theory as purely that - that there will be a peak when demand goes up, prices start to rise, and reservoirs start to deplete, then yes I believe that. It is but common sense to believe in this, much as it is common sense to believe that you will die, even if it still remains a theory.
So, in summary, I am not currently committed to some of the hype surrounding the effects of 'Peak Oil', that they will be as drastic and immediate as some believe. Why? Well one example that people who believe in the 'big bang Peak Oil' theory used to support their arguments was the recent massive price rises. However there is enough other evidence out there that causes me to at least doubt the argument, although not to fully disprove it - such as the fact that much of the rises were due to institutional investing in oil futures, thus pushing the price up.
From your tone it sounds like you are committed to the hyped version of 'Peak Oil'; previous posts on the matter would also suggest this; if that is correct then I am not agreeing with you - I agree only with the inevitability that there is a peak, and that its effects are far from known and very difficult to predict. Time will tell.
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