Re: How good is your GCSE-level knowledge? Test it here!
Hopefully I have the correct answer, lets find out...
Firstly the 75% is a red herring as this man has a normal reading and that only applies to a high reading, so forget about that.
We know that 7% of men with a normal reading like this man do still have cancer.
We know that 1/14 men have prostate cancer, and that 7% of men with a normal reading also have cancer.
Therefore if we multiply the chance of him having cancer (1/14) by the chance of the test giving a false negative (7/100) we get 1/200 (0.5%) chance.
To summarise: (1/14) x (7/100) = 1/200 which is the same as 0.5/100 which is the same as 0.5%.
Hopefully someone will be along to confirm if I know what I'm talking about or if I'm leading you off down the wrong path and need to take this test too!
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Last edited by Nutsinatin; 27-04-14 at 06:13 PM.
Reason: Clarification
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