Quote:
Originally Posted by Blue_SV650S
Gambling is for mugs .. or lucky people!  I wouldn't GAMBLE £50k!!!  are you mad?!!?!?
Therefore I don't want to 'gamble'!!  ... just play the odds/bookies such that I only bet on stuff where the opposing odds are such that I am guaranteed at a minimum to always get my money back - potentially win biger, or ALWAYS win a little 
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true, but if you are going to gamble you might as well only do it when the odds are such that beting in the manor i described gives u a very healthy chance. No different to stocks and shares in a downwards trending market.
good luck with your idea though. Im sure it will work but the odds are likly to only change by 0.1 - 0.3 in my experiance before the game/event goes live.