I just reread the first post, the driver turned across the bike into a left didn't he? I was thinking he'd turned across the stream of traffic for some reason (ie he was travelling in the other direction from the bike) That does change it a lot. But I'm still going to say it's a 50/50.
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"We are the angry mob,
we read the papers every day
We like what we like, we hate what we hate
But we're oh so easily swayed"
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